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How Options Expiry Will Impact the Crypto Market Today

Options expiry often brings short-term volatility as traders adjust their positions. Looking at the last week, a similar event pushed Bitcoin up by nearly 8% and Ethereum by around 10% after expiry.

However, this time the total expiry size is slightly smaller at $2.1 billion compared to last week’s $2.4 billion. This could mean lower market pressure, but price swings are still expected.

On the other hand, Polymarket predicts a 38% chance that Bitcoin could reach $65K by the end of March 2026. 

For now, the market remains cautious, as traders watch closely to see if this option’s expiry will impact current Bitcoin price levels.

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FAQs

What happens when Bitcoin and Ethereum options expire?

Options expiry can trigger short-term volatility as traders close or adjust positions, often pulling prices toward key “max pain” levels before stabilizing.

Will today’s options expiry cause a major crypto crash?

Not necessarily. Expiry usually causes temporary volatility, not crashes. Market direction depends on broader sentiment, liquidity, and macro factors.